It’s time to move! Fairfax County Real Estate Market Sept 2014

How has the real estate market been in Fairfax County over the past few months?

We definitely had an interesting Spring season

Late Winter is a good time for Realtors® to go on vacation

The real estate market in Fairfax County is usually quiet in late Winter

Some of us, Northern Virginia Realtors®, saw good activity in the late Winter (when it’s normally nice and quiet and a great time to go on a cruise vacation… hey, it’s ok to dream!).

Many of us thought that this Spring would bring so much work that we’d have to quit sleeping for several months.

So we braced ourselves in exited anticipation for a wonderful, active Spring.  But Winter lingered (and it lingered so much that I thought that I had been transported to Canada in my sleep) and the Spring market took quite a while to thaw out.

Spring sprung late in 2014

Finally, we saw some healthy activity toward May and June, which then promptly quieted down again for the usual Summer break.

And now it looks like we’re back on the usual market cycle

In accordance to the usual yearly market cycle, we saw a peak of activity during August.

Based on the usual market cycle, we should see a good buying opportunity from now and into October, and the best home deals of the year coming up in November and December.

Seasonal real estate activity in Virginia

Residential sales in Virginia (yearly cycle shows Sept-Dec as best times to buy)

That’s the usual yearly market cycle, but how is the market compared to last year?

How’s the Fairfax County real estate market compared to last year?

Compared to last year, the market in Fairfax County has seen home prices increase (year-to-date) by about 1% – just as I predicted back in January.

Some parts of Fairfax County have seen more appreciation than others

For example, the City of Falls Church has increased about 10% its prices year-to-date compared to last year, and the City of Fairfax has seen its prices increased by about 8% from last year’s year-to-date figures.

Fairfax County Real Estate Statistics August 2014

Fairfax County Real Estate Statistics August 2014

But normally, when prices are up, it’s because inventory is low.

Good news! Housing inventory is not low

The good news is that there is plenty of inventory for buyers to choose from.

  • As of August of 2014, the months of supply is at 3.4 compared to the last 5 years’ average of 2.8.
Fairfax County Months of Supply August 2014

Fairfax County Months of Supply August 2014

What this means is that we have a healthy real estate market with plenty of listings that are constantly being replenished.  Because, let’s face it, 3.4 months of inventory isn’t exactly “high inventory”, so that means that listings are overall moving well.

What this means for home buyers

For buyers, right now is a great opportunity to find a nice home that meets their needs and, due to the time of year, it’s the best opportunity for negotiating the best terms possible.

And, what does this mean for sellers?  (Especially for people who are buying and selling at the same time)

What this means for home sellers

For sellers, this is a good time to sell a home too.   If the home shows well and is priced appropriately, statistics show that it is likely that there will be a willing and able, interested buyer within the first couple of months.

Also, average home prices are strong at $478k, compared to the last 5 years’ average of $444k.

Fairfax County Real Estate Median Sale Price - August 2014

Fairfax County Real Estate Median Sale Price – August 2014

So yes, now is a great time to move (and then start planning next year’s vacation… hopefully on a cruise ship 😉 ).

Contact us to get statistics tailored to your zip code

If you are interested in moving, contact us and we’ll be happy to provide you complimentary market statistics tailored specifically to your zip code.

* Statistics from Smart Charts (Real Estate business intelligence)

* Image by kansasphoto on flickr

Your turn, what do you think?

Please leave a comment!

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